TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Reg Time: Eibar
- Kalshi
Reg Time: Eibar - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 16h:18m:14s
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This market centers on the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between CD Pamplona and Eibar, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time. It excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, emphasizing the immediate conclusion of regular match time. The resolution depends entirely on which team secures a victory within those defined periods, or if the match ends evenly.
The event determines the winner of the CD Pamplona vs Eibar professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for November 3, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for CD Pamplona, a win for Eibar, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within the specified time frame, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the defined procedures. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the insights of their own experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, as each represents a unique form of forecasting. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow for continuous price discovery until the event occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning prices can fluctuate rapidly in response to news or changing sentiment. This creates a real-time probability assessment of the CD Pamplona vs Eibar match result.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the regulation time moneyline of the CD Pamplona vs Eibar match – which team wins, or if the match ends in a draw. No additional time or penalty shootouts will be considered. The platform will verify the final result against official sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Match previews, expert analyses, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can also play a role. Furthermore, in-match events like early goals or red cards, while not directly impacting the regulation time moneyline, can influence trader behavior and cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or changes to the playing field could also be catalysts for movement in this market.