TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:13 PM EST
Kalshi
CD Pamplona competes against Eibar in a Copa del Rey soccer match. The game's outcome will decide the advancing team, shaping their participation in the competition and season goals.
If CD Pamplona advance past Eibar in the CD Pamplona vs Eibar soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eibar advance past CD Pamplona in the CD Pamplona vs Eibar soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks, or react more quickly to breaking news. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the spread between the buy and sell prices indicates the current level of uncertainty surrounding the event.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the CD Pamplona vs Eibar match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions on Kalshi following official confirmation, and payouts will be processed accordingly. The market's outcome will be based on the final score of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role, as could any controversies or rule changes affecting the teams. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also cause adjustments in the market price. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market.