TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:04 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CD Los Chankas and AD Tarma, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Los Chankas vs. AD Tarma match originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CD Los Chankas and AD Tarma, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Los Chankas vs. AD Tarma match originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks have limits on bet sizes, while Polymarket may have different constraints. The comparison depends on the specific outcome and prevailing market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the CD Los Chankas vs. AD Tarma match, specifically the exact score, will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Any delays in the official reporting of the match result may impact the resolution timeline, but the process will begin as soon as the information is reliably available and verified.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either CD Los Chankas or AD Tarma would likely cause shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they significantly affect playing style, could also impact the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a specific scoreline could sway trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed betting activity and drive price movements.