TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 6:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between CD Limache and Audax CS Italiano scheduled for November 2, 2026. Markets exist for CD Limache winning, Audax CS Italiano winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Chile Primera game, scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 between CD Limache and Audax CS Italiano.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Deportes Limache vs Audax professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer match scheduled for November 2, 2026: a win for Deportes Limache, a win for Audax, or a tie. The resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn't yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. The current implied probability from this market may offer a different perspective than what’s available at conventional sportsbooks, potentially revealing insights into the perceived value of various outcomes. Examining both can be a valuable strategy.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-making activity. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Chilean Primera División match. Additionally, the trading fees and platform-specific rules can influence price discovery. While both platforms track the same underlying event, these factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies. The current volume on each platform also plays a role, with higher volume generally indicating greater price stability.