TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CD Leganés and RCD Mallorca, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Leganés" if CD Leganés are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RCD Mallorca" if RCD Mallorca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CD Leganés and RCD Mallorca, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Leganés" if CD Leganés are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RCD Mallorca" if RCD Mallorca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from the implied probabilities in this market, it could indicate differing perspectives on team form, potential injuries, or other factors influencing the game. It’s worth comparing the two to see where the discrepancies lie.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in RCD Mallorca to score first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. Conversely, increased trading activity favoring CD Leganés would lower the price of their shares. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—CD Leganés or RCD Mallorca—scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any goals scored during regular play, or added time, will be considered. The outcome will be determined by the official match report, and the market will settle accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CD Leganés or RCD Mallorca would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, based on recent match results, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or tactical changes announced by either manager, might also lead to adjustments in the market. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analysis favoring one team over the other could contribute to price movement.