TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:03h:22m
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In the upcoming match between CD Guastatoya and CSD Suchitepéquez, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Guastatoya" if CD Guastatoya are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Suchitepéquez" if CSD Suchitepéquez are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CD Guastatoya and CSD Suchitepéquez, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Guastatoya" if CD Guastatoya are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CSD Suchitepéquez" if CSD Suchitepéquez are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to note that prediction market odds can be more volatile, especially closer to the event, as new information impacts traders' assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal in the CD Guastatoya versus CSD Suchitepéquez match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CD Guastatoya or CSD Suchitepéquez would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, or tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.