TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:12 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 4 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 4 at 7:00 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and analysis faster than sportsbooks, particularly as new information becomes available closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand; if more people buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the CD Guastatoya versus Aurora FC football match. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner or draw, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either CD Guastatoya or Aurora FC could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable football experts, could also play a role. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in overall market perception.