TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:23 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CD Guastatoya and Aurora FC, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Guastatoya" if CD Guastatoya are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aurora FC" if Aurora FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CD Guastatoya and Aurora FC, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Guastatoya" if CD Guastatoya are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aurora FC" if Aurora FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether CD Guastatoya or Aurora FC will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand for shares.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the CD Guastatoya vs. Aurora FC match. Official match records and reports will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted sources of sports data. The resolution process aims to provide a clear and transparent determination of the market’s outcome, based on the actual events of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either CD Guastatoya or Aurora FC would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also affect trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the coaches, could prompt adjustments to the probabilities. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analysis predicting a specific outcome could drive increased trading volume and price movement in this market.