TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 1:11 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 14 at 9:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 14 at 9:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade on Polymarket to capitalize on that perceived mispricing. This can lead to odds on Polymarket that are more accurate or reflect different information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guatemalan soccer match between CD Guastatoya and Antigua GFC. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could shift the perceived probabilities. Additionally, real-time updates during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause significant price fluctuations. General sentiment surrounding the teams’ performance and any pre-match analysis from soccer experts could also impact trading volume and the price of shares on Polymarket.