This event group covers a professional Liga MX soccer match between CD Guadalajara and Club Santos Laguna scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms consistently measure the same outcome window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties) and agree on the three possible match results, with only a minor divergence in cancellation handling that does not affect normal match resolution.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga MX match records and ligamx.net cancha/partidos section
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Guadalajara win, Santos Laguna win, or draw
Match must be completed on or after March 14, 2026 to resolve
If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves draw and win markets to No, while Kalshi resolves all outcome markets to Yes. This represents a minor procedural divergence but does not affect resolution of a completed match.
Postponement: If the match is postponed from March 14, 2026, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Extra Time and Penalties: If the match goes to extra time or a penalty shootout, only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is used for resolution. Any goals or outcomes in extra time or penalties are not counted.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match is completed and the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is confirmed by Liga MX, typically within hours of match conclusion on March 14, 2026 or the rescheduled date.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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