TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CD Garcilaso vs. CS Huancayo
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CD Garcilaso vs. CS Huancayo?

Volume:
$615,593

Huancayo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 11:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Huancayo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$232,848
N/A
N/A
$98,365
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CS Huancayo

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Deportivo Garcilaso

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182,184
N/A
N/A
$108,528
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Garcilaso

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140,877
N/A
N/A
$86,682
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CD Garcilaso vs. CS Huancayo)

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Liga 1 soccer match between CD Garcilaso and CS Huancayo on October 9, 2026, specifically whether CS Huancayo will win. Currently, the aggregated probability of CS Huancayo winning is 92.0%, with a 8.0% probability that the match will end in a draw. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will be resolved based on the official result reported at https://liga1.pe/ after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on October 10, 2026, as this is the estimated date for resolution of the match outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not specify a resolution path for cancellations.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers defined risk, while Kalshi's risk is open-ended in the event of a cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses a hierarchy of official statistics, Flashscore, and Sofascore for resolution if official data is unavailable. Resolution occurs within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, or resolves 50-50 if no data is available.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellations is provided, implying the market would remain open indefinitely. Relies on the official result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between CD Garcilaso and CS Huancayo.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Huancayo professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. If Deportivo Garcilaso wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, that market resolves to Yes. If Huancayo wins under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume typically leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions, influencing trader behavior. Finally, differing interpretations of available information about the CD Garcilaso vs. CS Huancayo match, or even simple short-term fluctuations in trading activity, can cause temporary price divergence.