Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 25, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations across all three possible outcomes (Comerciantes win, Cristal win, or draw).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Liga 1 Peru (the governing body/event organizer), with fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets: one for Comerciantes win (YES if they win, NO otherwise), one for draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), and one for Cristal win (YES if they win, NO otherwise).
Kalshi offers a single market that resolves YES for any outcome (tie, Comerciantes win, or Cristal win), making it a tautological market that always resolves YES.
If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket markets for team wins resolve NO and the draw market resolves YES; Kalshi resolves YES regardless.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open on both platforms until the match is completed. Resolution is delayed but the logic remains unchanged.
Match Cancellation Without Make-up: On Polymarket, cancellation resolves team-win markets to NO and the draw market to YES. On Kalshi, cancellation resolves the market to YES (since it covers all outcomes).
Resolution Source Timing: If official Liga 1 Peru statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution via consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Liga 1 Peru or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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