TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. AD Tarma
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. AD Tarma?

Total volume:
$235
Volume 24h:
$147N/A
Liquidity:
$12,433
109%
Open interest:
$156
678%

Comerciantes U.

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:00h:13m

Comerciantes U. wins

44%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 44¢ buys you 227 shares | Odds: 44% Total Payout: $227 | Net Profit: $127 Multiplier: 2.27x | ROI: 127% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Comerciantes U.

Trade
44%
Yes 44¢No 57¢
1¢
N/A
$167
677%
N/A
$156
1d 13m
Active
polymarket

CD Comerciantes Unidos

Trade
43%
Yes 44¢No 58¢
2¢
$5,202
$38
0%
N/A
N/A
21h 13m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
43.8%
Yes 44¢No 57.5¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

AD Tarma

Trade
28%
1%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$3,944
$25
0%
N/A
N/A
21h 13m
Active
kalshi

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 13m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28.5%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Draw (CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. AD Tarma)

Trade
28%
1%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$3,286
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
21h 13m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 13m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28.5%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between CD Comerciantes Unidos and AD Tarma in the Peru Liga 1 on November 3, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the risk of game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market's resolution may be uncertain in that event. Polymarket offers more clarity on this point.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if CD Comerciantes Unidos or AD Tarma wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official stats, Flashscore, and Sofascore for resolution.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if CD Comerciantes Unidos, AD Tarma, or a Tie occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 between CD Comerciantes Unidos and AD Tarma.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match between Comerciantes U. and Asociacion Deportiva Tarma scheduled for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are offered: a win for Comerciantes U., a win for Asociacion Deportiva Tarma, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's guidelines. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Comerciantes Unidos vs. Tarma match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms suggests a slight lean towards one result, though opinions vary. The aggregated volume for this market is $235, with $183 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates the level of interest and activity surrounding the event. We are monitoring how the market evolves as more information becomes available, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust prices more rapidly than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or changing circumstances surrounding the Comerciantes Unidos vs. Tarma match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading fees, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can impact price volatility and spread. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will CD Comerciantes Unidos win on 2026-11-03? at 43.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Comerciantes U. wins at 44.0%, demonstrating these differing viewpoints.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Comerciantes Unidos vs. Tarma match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and how it impacts their positions following the match’s completion. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 3, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either CD Comerciantes Unidos or AD Tarma would undoubtedly shift expectations. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trading activity. Any news regarding potential match-fixing allegations or controversies would likely cause substantial price movement. Finally, major upsets in other related matches or leagues could impact overall sentiment and affect the probability assigned to different outcomes in this market.