TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:18 PM EST
Kalshi
Another set of soccer teams face off in a professional Copa del Rey match. The outcome depends solely on which team secures a victory during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalty kicks.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money trading, allowing participants to express their beliefs directly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing trends related to the CD Ceuta vs UB Lebrijana match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the CD Ceuta vs UB Lebrijana match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of CD Ceuta winning in regulation time.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the CD Ceuta vs UB Lebrijana match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match as recorded by the governing sporting body, specifically whether CD Ceuta won the match within regulation time (excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts). The platform will use publicly available and authoritative sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either CD Ceuta or UB Lebrijana would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions that could affect the match, or significant shifts in public opinion regarding the teams’ chances of winning, could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially leading to price fluctuations in this market.