TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a professional Copa del Rey match, with the market resolving based on the winner within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of the CD Baztan vs Atletico Calatayud match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a 'yes' outcome. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; as more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of a regulation time win for CD Baztan or Atletico Calatayud.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the CD Baztan vs Atletico Calatayud match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team declared the winner of the regulation time moneyline will determine the settlement of this market. The platform will verify the final score against widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in prior matches for either CD Baztan or Atletico Calatayud could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could create price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities as traders react to new information or adjust their strategies.