TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between CB 1939 Canarias and UCAM Murcia, reflecting which team will win the match. The event is part of Spain's top-tier Liga ACB league, featuring two competitive teams facing off in a head-to-head contest. The result depends solely on the final score of the game as determined by official league records.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the CB 1939 Canarias vs UCAM Murcia men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, and can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome, leading to odds that may diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the CB 1939 Canarias vs UCAM Murcia match, as reported by official sports authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to ensure a fair and accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team performance in recent games, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could all impact traders' perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements or significant shifts in public opinion could also lead to price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to drive trading volume and change the odds in this market.