TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Cavese and Casarano. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If neither team wins, the match ends in a tie, which has its own designated outcome.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Cavese vs Casarano professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome is triggered for the Cavese market if Cavese wins, for the Casarano market if Casarano wins, and for the Tie market if the game concludes with an equal score. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember they represent distinct forms of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is for Casarano to win, though the implied probability is constantly shifting as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. The market's depth and liquidity are determined by the number of buyers and sellers actively participating.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cavese vs Casarano match, as determined by the governing soccer league. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure the integrity of the market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Cavese or Casarano would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. News regarding weather conditions at the match venue, or any controversies surrounding the teams, could also contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable shifts in the odds.