TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
⌛Ending Soon
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Cavaliers vs Thunder?

Total volume:
$3,264
Volume 24h:
$2,938
811%
Liquidity:
$48,203
5%
Open interest:
$2,016
1,293%

Oklahoma City

 - Kalshi

Oklahoma City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 02d:00h:19m

Oklahoma City wins

53%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 52¢ buys you 192 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $192 | Net Profit: $92 Multiplier: 1.92x | ROI: 92% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oklahoma City

Trade
53%
4%
Yes 52¢No 51¢
3¢
N/A
$1,161
577%
N/A
$803
2d 19m
Active
kalshi

Cleveland

Trade
52%
1%
Yes 52¢No 52¢
4¢
N/A
$1,705
2,527%
N/A
$1,213
2d 19m
Active
polymarket

Cavaliers vs. Thunder

Trade
51%
Yes 51¢No 50¢
1¢
$23,952
$398
208%
N/A
N/A
1d 21h 19m
Active
predict

Cavaliers vs. Thunder

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
$6,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
51.7%
Yes 51.5¢No 51¢
Avg: 4.7¢Max: 9¢
polymarket

Team to Score First

Trade
50%
Yes 98¢No 98¢
96¢
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 21h 19m
Active
polymarket

Odd/Even Score

Trade
50%
Yes 72¢No 72¢
44¢
$18,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 21h 19m
Active
polymarket

Overtime?

Trade
N/A
N/A
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 21h 19m
Active
polymarket

Race to 10

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 21h 19m
Active
polymarket

Race to 20

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 21h 19m
Active
polymarket

Race to 30

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 21h 19m
Active
Total markets: 10

Description

This group covers various markets related to a single NBA game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Oklahoma City Thunder, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026. Markets include the overall game winner, first team to score, race to specific point totals, and whether the game will go into overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lacks a specific resolution source, relying solely on the game outcome, while Polymarket explicitly uses NBA.com.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for clearer resolution criteria and a defined source of truth. Kalshi markets are still valid but carry a slightly higher source risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the final score including overtime, using NBA.com as the source. A 50-50 split occurs if the game is canceled or abandoned before November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins the game. No explicit resolution source is provided, and no-result provisions are limited to the game not occurring.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game between Cavaliers and Thunder, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes for the specified team if they win the Cleveland vs Oklahoma City Pro Basketball game scheduled for Nov 4, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Predict

In the upcoming NBA game between Cavaliers and Thunder, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates predictions on the Cavaliers-Thunder matchup from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Predict. It provides a consensus view of the likely outcome, reflecting the combined volume of $3,246 across these venues. Currently, the dashboard displays the aggregated probabilities and trading activity, offering a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. This allows users to see how opinions differ and converge regarding the final result of the game. The 24-hour volume is $2,747, indicating recent trading interest.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s also common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, such as injury reports or lineup changes, than sportsbooks. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded view of the likely outcome.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk tolerance, influencing how odds are set. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels on each platform can create price discrepancies. For example, a large trade on Polymarket might not have the same impact on Predict if its volume is lower. The specific rules and incentives on each platform also contribute to these differences, as traders respond to varying fee structures and market mechanisms.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Cavaliers-Thunder game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official game statistics, including points scored by each team. This market's resolution is based on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and objectivity. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the outcome of this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Cavaliers or the Thunder would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in sports news and analysis, can also drive trading activity. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.