TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:39 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 13 at 7:00PM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 13 at 7:00PM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing analysis, public biases, or even late-breaking news. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not easily quantifiable like team morale or potential injuries.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a growing belief in that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market is constantly adjusting to new information and participant sentiment regarding the Cavaliers-Magic game.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Cavaliers-Magic game, as officially recorded by relevant sports authorities, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will occur shortly after the game concludes and the official results are available. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting lineups, or coaching decisions for either the Cavaliers or the Magic could cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or player performance could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, general shifts in public perception, fueled by media coverage or expert analysis, can drive changes in the implied probabilities reflected in this market. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also indirectly affect trader sentiment.