TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cavaliers vs. Lakers
Volume:
$18,316,125
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Los Angeles Lakers scheduled for March 31 at 10:30 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Cavaliers" or "Lakers" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different event groups. Kalshi resolves only on the game winner (Cavaliers vs. Lakers moneyline), while Polymarket includes 54 additional markets covering player props, spreads, totals, and halftime outcomes. Kalshi's scope is incomplete relative to Polymarket's comprehensive market suite.Hero Tip:
If you are trading player prop markets (e.g., Donovan Mitchell Points O/U 24.5, James Harden Assists O/U 7.5) or spread/total markets, you are ONLY on Polymarket. Kalshi offers no equivalent markets. Conversely, if you trade the moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket also offers this market but alongside 53 others. Ensure you understand which platform you are using and that your position matches your intended exposure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides only 2 markets, both resolving on the moneyline outcome. Market 1 states 'If Los Angeles L wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and Market 2 states 'If Cleveland wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction: both markets cannot resolve YES simultaneously. Kalshi's scope excludes all player props, spreads, totals, and halftime markets present on Polymarket.
- Polymarket: Aligned with comprehensive market coverage: Polymarket offers 54 distinct markets organized into categories: (1) Moneyline (Cavaliers vs. Lakers), (2) Player Points O/U (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, LeBron James, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Luka Dončić, Sam Merrill, Max Strus), (3) Player Rebounds O/U (Deandre Ayton, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Evan Mobley, Luka Dončić, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, Jaxson Hayes), (4) Player Assists O/U (Luka Dončić, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley, Austin Reaves, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen, Deandre Ayton, LeBron James), (5) Spread Markets (Lakers -1.5, Lakers -2.5, 1H Lakers -0.5, 1H Lakers -1.5), (6) Total Markets (O/U 235.5, 236.5, 237.5, 234.5, 1H O/U 114.5, 115.5, 113.5), and (7) Halftime Moneyline. All markets reference 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com' as the resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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