TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Milwaukee Bucks scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET at Milwaukee. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spreads across multiple thresholds, over/under totals at various levels, first-half results, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists) for both teams.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official NBA box score determines all outcomes, overtime is included, postponement keeps markets open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50, and player inactivity triggers No resolution on props.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score published on NBA.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline (full game): Cavaliers win resolves Yes/Cavaliers; Bucks win resolves Yes/Bucks; determined by final score including overtime
- Point spreads (full game): Cavaliers cover if they win by the specified margin or more (e.g., -8.5 requires 9+ point win); otherwise Bucks wins; ties resolve to Bucks
- Over/Under totals: Combined team score compared to threshold; Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold + 1 (e.g., O/U 227.5 resolves Over at 228+); Under if below
- First-half markets: Moneyline, spreads, and totals determined by halftime score only; tied halftime moneyline resolves 50-50
- Player props (points, rebounds, assists): Resolve Yes if player exceeds stated threshold; No if at or below threshold; No if player listed inactive or does not play
- Game postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
- Game cancellation (no makeup): All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Overtime inclusion: All overtime periods are included in final score calculation for full-game markets; first-half markets use only halftime score regardless of overtime
- Tied game (full game): Moneyline resolves to Bucks; spread markets resolve to Bucks (tie treated as failure to cover)
- Tied halftime score: First-half moneyline resolves 50-50; first-half spreads resolve to Bucks (tie treated as failure to cover)
- Player inactivity: If player listed inactive or does not take court at any point, all player prop markets for that player resolve No
- Game postponement and makeup: Markets remain open and resolve on the makeup game's final score; if no makeup game is scheduled, markets resolve 50-50
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after final official NBA box score is published on NBA.com following game completion (including any overtime); first-half markets resolve at halftime; postponed games resolve when makeup game completes or 50-50 if canceled without makeupOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.