TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Simone Consolo and Federico Iannaccone in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simone Consolo' if Simone Consolo advances against Federico Iannaccone. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Simone Consolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Simone Consolo and Federico Iannaccone in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simone Consolo' if Simone Consolo advances against Federico Iannaccone. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Simone Consolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even less quantifiable factors influencing the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, reflecting their collective assessment of the likely winner of the Catania tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Catania tennis match between Simone Consolo and Federico Iannaccone. The winner, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure an accurate and fair settlement for all traders.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even surprising results in earlier rounds of the tournament could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form, coaching changes, or strategic adjustments could also cause price fluctuations. Additionally, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could temporarily move the market, though these are often quickly corrected by other traders.