TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Rodenas and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Pedro Rodenas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Rodenas and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Pedro Rodenas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Rodenas vs Gulin match. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome in the Rodenas vs Gulin match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Rodenas vs Gulin match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the governing tennis body, confirming which player won the match. The platform will then verify this information and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in external polls or expert analyses, could also contribute to price movements in this market concerning the Rodenas vs Gulin match.