TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Rodenas and Sebastiano Cocola in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Sebastiano Cocola. This market will resolve to 'Sebastiano Cocola' if Sebastiano Cocola advances against Pedro Rodenas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Rodenas and Sebastiano Cocola in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Sebastiano Cocola. This market will resolve to 'Sebastiano Cocola' if Sebastiano Cocola advances against Pedro Rodenas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of individuals, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by traders who can incorporate a wider range of information, including local knowledge and real-time developments. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as each represents a unique assessment of the probability of each candidate winning the Catania mayoral race. These differences can highlight areas where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating certain factors.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the Catania mayoral election, as announced by the relevant electoral authorities, will determine the winning candidate. The platform will then verify this information against reliable sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official announcements and news coverage leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about the election’s progress.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements from influential political figures, shifts in public opinion revealed by polling data, and unexpected campaign controversies could all cause price fluctuations. Any significant developments regarding the candidates’ platforms or policy positions could also influence trading activity. Additionally, any news relating to voter turnout or potential irregularities in the election process could move the market. Traders will be closely watching these factors as the election draws nearer, adjusting their positions based on the latest information.