TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Oleksandr Ovcharenko in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Oleksandr Ovcharenko. This market will resolve to 'Oleksandr Ovcharenko' if Oleksandr Ovcharenko advances against Pavel Lagutin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Oleksandr Ovcharenko in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Oleksandr Ovcharenko. This market will resolve to 'Oleksandr Ovcharenko' if Oleksandr Ovcharenko advances against Pavel Lagutin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, particularly in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Lagutin vs Ovcharenko match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lagutin vs Ovcharenko match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Major news events or announcements related to the tournament itself could also cause the market to react, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.