TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Radu Mihai Papoe in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Radu Mihai Papoe. This market will resolve to 'Radu Mihai Papoe' if Radu Mihai Papoe advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Radu Mihai Papoe in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Radu Mihai Papoe. This market will resolve to 'Radu Mihai Papoe' if Radu Mihai Papoe advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the implied probability of a particular player winning the Catania tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Catania tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Radu Mihai Papoe. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered based on publicly available information and established tournament rules.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Significant trading volume from informed participants, or even large individual trades, could also cause noticeable price movements as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.