TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Pavel Lagutin in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Michael Geerts. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Pavel Lagutin in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Michael Geerts. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on the individual assessments of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets offer a more nuanced view, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a consensus view. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants on Polymarket, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely result of the Geerts vs Lagutin match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the match between Michael Geerts and Pavel Lagutin, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of the Geerts vs Lagutin match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Michael Geerts or Pavel Lagutin’s form or preparation could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might sway the market, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions. Major upsets in related matches could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities.