TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Pedro Vives Marcos in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Pedro Vives Marcos in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more favorable odds depending on the collective wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there's a significant amount of informed trading activity surrounding an event like the Cecchinato vs Vives Marcos match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Cecchinato vs Vives Marcos match. The current price reflects the collective prediction of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Cecchinato vs Vives Marcos match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before Oct 20, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about either Marco Cecchinato or Pedro Vives Marcos’s form or fitness would likely cause a reaction. Additionally, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal a shift in expectations, potentially leading to substantial price changes in this market as traders react to new information or insights.