TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai Wehnelt and Lorenzo Angelini in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Wehnelt' if Kai Wehnelt advances against Lorenzo Angelini. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Angelini' if Lorenzo Angelini advances against Kai Wehnelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai Wehnelt and Lorenzo Angelini in the Catania, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Wehnelt' if Kai Wehnelt advances against Lorenzo Angelini. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Angelini' if Lorenzo Angelini advances against Kai Wehnelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Wehnelt vs Angelini match. Consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the market participants. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment regarding the Wehnelt vs Angelini match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wehnelt vs Angelini match, as reported by the governing sporting body. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Wehnelt or Angelini—actually occurred. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Wehnelt or Angelini could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public opinion about their chances, could also play a role. Major upsets or surprising performances during the lead-up to the match are likely to cause volatility and price adjustments in this market, reflecting the evolving probabilities.