TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 1:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when public opinion diverges from expert predictions. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived value of different outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cadenasso-Gulin match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and evolving sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cadenasso-Gulin match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting markets may trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities before the match concludes.