TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Radu Mihai Papoe in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Radu Mihai Papoe. This market will resolve to 'Radu Mihai Papoe' if Radu Mihai Papoe advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Radu Mihai Papoe in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Radu Mihai Papoe. This market will resolve to 'Radu Mihai Papoe' if Radu Mihai Papoe advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a large number of traders believe a player has a higher chance of winning than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting a growing expectation of their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Catania tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Radu Mihai Papoe. The player who wins the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match results.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or even updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either player’s preparation or strategy could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, any major upsets in other matches featuring these players leading up to the event might affect confidence levels and, consequently, the odds on Polymarket.