TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Enrico Dalla Valle will win against Federico Bondioli in their upcoming tennis match in Catania. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of Game Spread: Enrico Dalla Valle (-3.5) vs Federico Bondioli (+3.5). The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as this is when the event will begin and provide the first signal for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Enrico Dalla Valle and Federico Bondioli in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enrico Dalla Valle' if Enrico Dalla Valle advances against Federico Bondioli. This market will resolve to 'Federico Bondioli' if Federico Bondioli advances against Enrico Dalla Valle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may be influenced by promotional considerations or limitations in their modeling. This market, however, represents the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While sportsbooks might initially set odds based on player rankings and historical data, the prediction market can quickly adjust to new information or changing perceptions about player form or potential upsets. It's common to see differences emerge as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Catania tennis match between Enrico Dalla Valle and Federico Bondioli. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites or sports news outlets. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could all cause significant shifts in sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also play a role. A strong showing by either player in a preceding tournament, or even comments from coaches or analysts, could move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.