TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Sanchez Jover and Marvin Moeller in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Sanchez Jover' if Carlos Sanchez Jover advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Carlos Sanchez Jover. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Sanchez Jover and Marvin Moeller in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Sanchez Jover' if Carlos Sanchez Jover advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Carlos Sanchez Jover. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently or that one venue has a more efficient pricing mechanism. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and reflects their collective assessment of the match's likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the Carlos Sanchez Jover versus Marvin Moeller match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official tennis results and widely available sources to verify the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor reputable sports news outlets for the official result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Carlos Sanchez Jover or Marvin Moeller, or changes in playing surface conditions could all shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also affect trader sentiment. Significant betting activity from informed traders could also create movement, as could any public statements made by analysts or commentators regarding the likely outcome of the match.