TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Castellonense and Almeria after 90 minutes of regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The outcome depends solely on whether Castellonense, Almeria, or neither team (a tie) secures a victory within the standard match duration. Fair pricing adjustments apply if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event determines the winner of the Castellonense vs Almeria professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for October 27, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Castellonense win, Almeria win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s guidelines. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their view, potentially leading to odds that incorporate information not fully captured by traditional bookmakers. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even external factors influencing the match, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices react to new information or shifts in opinion. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Castellonense vs Almeria match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the regulation time moneyline – meaning the team that wins the match within the standard 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The final result will be sourced from official league data and widely available sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Castellonense or Almeria would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could indicate informed opinions and trigger further price adjustments.