TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Casa Pia AC and Sporting CP, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Casa Pia AC" if Casa Pia AC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sporting CP" if Sporting CP are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Casa Pia AC and Sporting CP, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Casa Pia AC" if Casa Pia AC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sporting CP" if Sporting CP are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook offerings, it may indicate differing beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. It's important to note that prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event as more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either Sporting CP or Casa Pia scoring first. The current volume traded provides insight into how actively this market is being monitored and the level of conviction behind the prevailing probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the match between Casa Pia AC and Sporting CP. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be assessed based on widely accepted football rules and the official match report, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sporting CP or Casa Pia would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as could any significant shifts in public opinion or betting activity observed elsewhere. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential price movements.