TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:14 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Casa Pia AC and Sporting CP, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Casa Pia AC vs. Sporting CP match originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Casa Pia AC and Sporting CP, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Casa Pia AC vs. Sporting CP match originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see differences, particularly in events where public perception plays a significant role.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores, and the price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular score is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Casa Pia AC vs. Sporting CP match—the exact score—will be used to determine which shares pay out. Resolution will occur after the official match results are published and independently verified. The platform will then distribute payouts to shareholders based on the winning exact score, as defined by the market’s parameters. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed final score.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly impact the perceived probabilities of different exact scores. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant public endorsements or analyses from football experts could shift market sentiment. Finally, major events impacting either team's morale or performance could influence trading behavior and cause price fluctuations in this market.