TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serie B soccer match between Carrarese and Modena. Bettors can speculate on whether Carrarese, Modena, or a tied result will occur after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the result within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Carrarese vs Modena professional Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Carrarese or Modena markets occurs if the respective team wins the match in regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract action on both sides, whereas this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Carrarese vs Modena match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The market’s depth, represented by the bid-ask spread, also provides insight into the level of agreement among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Carrarese vs Modena match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on the final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could all impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts. Major betting activity, particularly large trades on Kalshi, could also signal a shift in expectations and cause the market to move. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market.