TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie B game between Carrarese Calcio and SS Arezzo, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Serie B game between Carrarese Calcio and SS Arezzo, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible halftime outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the halftime result – which team is leading, or if it’s a draw – will be determined based on official match data. The platform will verify the result against trusted sports data sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, early game events, such as a red card or a penalty, could cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding situation. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.