TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Carrarese Calcio and Modena FC 2018.
This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Carrarese Calcio and Modena FC 2018.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, prediction markets can dynamically adjust as new information emerges and traders react to it, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, signaling growing confidence in that result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the odds. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system that reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Carrarese vs. Modena match, as reported by a recognized sports news source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions, which might affect the playing style or field conditions, could also play a role. Even public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can influence how traders assess the probabilities of different outcomes. A surprising result in a related match or a shift in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also trigger movement in this market.