TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:43 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Carolina and Vancouver. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, reflecting the competitive balance of the match. Outcomes depend on whether the game proceeds as scheduled or faces delays.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to specific goal-differential thresholds for either Carolina or Vancouver winning the game scheduled for October 20, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the stated condition is met—Vancouver winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Carolina winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, they remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game is canceled or does not start within that window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of scheduling changes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when aggregating diverse perspectives on the likely outcome of an event like the Hurricanes vs. Canucks game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a decentralized mechanism, allowing traders to directly influence the odds based on their own analysis and information. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Carolina Hurricanes versus the Vancouver Canucks game will be used to determine which contracts payout. Resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sports league, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Hurricanes or the Canucks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or adjustments to team strategy might also impact the spread. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can influence trading activity, leading to fluctuations in the market price as traders react to new information and insights.