TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jaydon Blue will score 2+ touchdowns in the Carolina vs Philadelphia pro football game. Currently, Kalshi gives this outcome a 3.0% probability, while the market also assesses the likelihood of Jaydon Blue scoring 1+ touchdowns at 2.0%. Resolution will be determined by whether Anthony Tyus III scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the Carolina vs Philadelphia game, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 18, 2026, as that is when this market will be resolved based on player performance during the fixture.
All markets resolve based on whether designated participants score at least one touchdown during the specified football game. If a participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at its fair pre-game price. Once a participant takes a snap—regardless of any subsequent penalties—the market resolves according to actual touchdowns scored. Touchdowns resulting from fake punts or offensive field goals are excluded from consideration, as only standard offensive touchdowns count toward resolution. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different touchdown totals. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially when there is significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for comparison and understanding the broader market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different touchdown totals, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that total occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a higher touchdown total is likely, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price. Conversely, if they believe a lower total is more probable, they will sell, pushing the price down.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final touchdown count from the Carolina vs Philadelphia game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total touchdowns scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries to either the Carolina or Philadelphia offenses would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting extreme conditions that might affect scoring. Major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also cause fluctuations in the price of contracts in this market.