TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve specific scoring milestones, offering a granular way to engage with the game's outcome beyond just winning or losing.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by either Carolina or Philadelphia in the game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals for a given team (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current top outcome, Carolina scoring 1+ Field Goals, reflects the collective judgment of traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of field goals scored by both the Carolina and Philadelphia teams during the official game will determine the resolution. The result will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest challenging kicking conditions, could also impact the perceived probability of field goals being scored. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from football experts or shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.