TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Carolina will win by more than 1.5 points in its game against Philadelphia. Currently, the probability of Carolina winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 88.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, specifically if Philadelphia wins by more than 6.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 18, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Each market specifies a different point margin threshold, with 'Yes' outcomes occurring if the winning team exceeds the stated margin. For Philadelphia to win by more than any specified margin (e.g., 1.5, 3.5, up to 16.5 points), the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, for Carolina to win by more than any specified margin (e.g., 1.5, 3.5, up to 16.5 points), the respective market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective margin criteria, all markets resolve to No. The markets are independent, and each threshold provides a granular view of potential outcomes, allowing for varied betting strategies based on expected game dynamics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the game's outcome. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional methods, especially when compared to initial polling data or expert analyses. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing information access and risk appetites.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the game’s likely result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Carolina versus Philadelphia game. The market will settle based on which side of the spread the actual final score falls, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in team performance during practice or pre-game reports could also lead to price adjustments. Public perception, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, although this market is driven by individual trader decisions rather than external opinions.