TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard milestones for specific players in an upcoming football game between Carolina and Philadelphia. The outcome depends on whether designated players achieve particular rushing yard thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game unless the player meets the specified rushing yard threshold. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward participation, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'at least' or 'above' payout criteria, and all rushing yard totals include overtime performance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many independent traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. If you find a substantial difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate a potential opportunity, but remember both represent different forms of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Carolina vs Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the league. Traders who correctly predicted the final rushing yard total will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts – inclement weather often favors a more run-heavy offensive approach. News regarding coaching strategies or defensive matchups could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes to the game plan could also cause shifts in price. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 18, 2026.