TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the rushing performance of specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Carolina and Philadelphia. Contracts will pay out based on the total rushing yards each designated player accumulates during the match. The structure ensures that payouts scale linearly with yardage up to a set maximum.
Contracts in this event pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players during the Carolina vs Philadelphia NFL game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the respective player, with payouts capped at $1.00, equivalent to 400 rushing yards. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that total payouts for Yes and No contracts sum to $1.00 regardless of the outcome. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning that if a player records 80 rushing yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80. This structure applies uniformly across all markets for Jalen Hurts, Chuba Hubbard, and Bryce Young, with each market operating independently based on the individual performance of its designated player.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates the beliefs of many independent traders. However, it's common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks set lines early to attract action, while this market develops more gradually as more information becomes available. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each outcome, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information and shifts in trader sentiment, creating a dynamic and informative pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for both the Carolina and Philadelphia teams are verifiable from credible public reporting following the conclusion of their game. The final rushing yardage statistics, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official data is released.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which can impact running game effectiveness. News regarding offensive line changes or coaching strategies could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or team tendencies could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to the new data and reassess the probabilities of different rushing yardage outcomes.