TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether specific Carolina Panthers players will achieve certain rushing yard thresholds in an upcoming game against the Philadelphia Eagles. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' performance during the match, making it a straightforward test of game-day execution.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records the designated rushing yard threshold in the designated game. If a player is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap — even if that snap is nullified by a penalty — the market settles strictly based on the total rushing yards they record during the game. All markets are independent, with each defining a different yardage threshold for resolution. The markets cover multiple thresholds for each player, allowing for varied predictions of performance levels. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly if there's significant public information or a strong consensus forming among traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of team injuries, weather forecasts, or strategic game plans, leading to potentially valuable insights for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of that total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, offering a unique perspective compared to static odds offered elsewhere. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final rushing yard totals for the Carolina and Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the league, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual total rushing yards achieved during the game. This provides a clear and definitive outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding key injuries to running backs or offensive linemen on either team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing yard totals. Late-breaking reports on team strategies or coaching decisions could further shift the market. Finally, any significant public analysis from respected sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and move the price of contracts in this market.