TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Carolina and Philadelphia. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed certain reception thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the player meets the reception requirement, in which case it settles based on actual performance. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward reception totals, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria, and all reception counts include overtime plays.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is incorrect, you may see the odds on Kalshi diverge. This divergence can be driven by information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines, such as injury reports or subtle changes in team strategy. It’s a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total receptions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions for both teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to the total combined receptions achieved by players on the Carolina and Philadelphia teams during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total receptions will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, can also influence trader behavior. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports about a shift in offensive strategy could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on player performance is key to understanding how this market might evolve.