TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Carolina and Philadelphia. Payouts increase progressively with the number of receiving yards each player accumulates during the match, following a predefined schedule. The structure ensures that returns grow more significantly as yardage milestones are surpassed.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each Yes contract pays an amount determined by a cubic scaling formula applied to the player’s total receiving yards, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout schedule increments every 10 yards, with values ranging from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards up to $1.0000 for 200+ yards. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. If a player records negative receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.00. All payouts are calculated using the formula: Payout = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents the official receiving yards. The structure ensures non-linear growth in potential returns as yardage increases, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any affiliation with the governing league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to or place greater weight on information not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the Carolina versus Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage for each team will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total receiving yards achieved by players on both teams during the game. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi following the official confirmation of the game statistics.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor a passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or coaching strategies could also impact trading. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities and, consequently, the prices within this market.