TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming NFL matchup. It captures the dynamic nature of the game by focusing on the pace at which each team scores, rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the first scoring milestone reached during the contest.
The event determines whether Carolina, Philadelphia, or neither team is the first to score 21 points in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If either Carolina or Philadelphia reaches 21 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this scoring threshold by the end of regulation or overtime, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available in traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. As a result, you may find that the probabilities implied by Kalshi diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbook odds in response to breaking news.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome – in this case, either Carolina or Philadelphia reaching 21 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time probability forecast. The higher the price, the greater the perceived chance of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the platform will determine which team reached 21 points first based on official game statistics. The resolution will be based on the official scoring of the game, as reported by the relevant sports league. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Carolina or Philadelphia teams would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in team strategy or unexpected performance in preceding games could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the teams' chances could drive increased volume and price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also influence the market, as could any late-breaking news related to team morale or coaching decisions.