TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on in-game scoring milestones.
The event determines whether Carolina, Philadelphia, or neither team is the first to score 14 points in their football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If either team reaches 14 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this scoring threshold, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled by allowing the market to remain open if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time; if the game does not begin within this window, the market resolves at a fair price based on available information.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of either team reaching 14 points first. Discrepancies can arise due to varying information sources and analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the prices may become as uncertainty decreases and traders refine their predictions about the Carolina vs Philadelphia race to 14 points.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Carolina or Philadelphia – officially reaches 14 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring records. It’s important to note that the official game results will be the final authority for determining the winning outcome of this market, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Carolina or Philadelphia would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as strong offensive showings or defensive weaknesses revealed in recent matches, could also shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could impact the scoring pace and influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public statements from coaches or players about their game strategy could also move this market as traders react to new information.